Follow-up life table

 

Menu location: Analysis_Survival_Follow-Up Life Table.

 

This function provides a follow-up life table that displays the survival experience of a cohort.

 

The table is constructed by the following definitions:

 

image\STAT0282_wmf.gif

image\STAT0283_wmf.gif

image\STAT0284_wmf.gif

image\STAT0285_wmf.gif

- where lx is the product of all px before x.

 

Technical validation

The Berkson and Gage method is used to construct the basic table (Berkson and Gage, 1950; Armitage and Berry, 1994; Altman, 1991; Lawless, 1982; Kalbfleisch and Prentice, 1980; Le, 1997). The confidence interval for lx is not a simple application of the estimated variance for Ix, instead it uses a maximum likelihood solution from an asymptotic distribution by the transformation of lx suggested by Kalbfleisch and Prentice (1980). This treatment of lx avoids impossible values (i.e. >1 or <0).

 

Example

From Armitage and Berry (1994, p. 473).

Test workbook (Survival worksheet: Year, Died, Withdrawn).

 

The following data represent the survival of a 374 patients who had one type of surgery for a particular malignancy.

 

Years since operation

Died in this interval

Lost to follow-up

1

90

0

2

76

0

3

51

0

4

25

12

5

20

5

6

7

9

7

4

9

8

1

3

9

3

5

10

2

5

 

To analyse these data in StatsDirect you must first prepare them in three workbook columns appropriately labelled. Alternatively, open the test workbook using the file open function of the file menu. Then select Simple Life Table from the survival analysis section of the analysis menu. Select the column marked "Year" when asked for the times, select "Died" when asked for deaths and "Withdrawn" when asked for withdrawals. Select 374 (total deaths and withdrawals) as the number alive at the start.

 

For this example:

 

Follow-up life table

 

Interval

Deaths

Withdrawn

At risk

Adj. at risk

P(death)

0 to 1

90

0

374

374

0.240642

1 to 2

76

0

284

284

0.267606

2 to 3

51

0

208

208

0.245192

3 to 4

25

12

157

151

0.165563

4 to 5

20

5

120

117.5

0.170213

5 to 6

7

9

95

90.5

0.077348

6 to 7

4

9

79

74.5

0.053691

7 to 8

1

3

66

64.5

0.015504

8 to 9

3

5

62

59.5

0.05042

9 to 10

2

5

54

51.5

0.038835

10 up

21

26

47

*

*

 

Interval

P(survival)

Survivors (lx%)

SD of lx%

95% CI for lx%

0 to 1

0.759358

100

*

* to *

1 to 2

0.732394

75.935829

10.57424

71.271289 to 79.951252

2 to 3

0.754808

55.614973

7.87331

50.428392 to 60.482341

3 to 4

0.834437

41.97861

7.003571

36.945565 to 46.922332

4 to 5

0.829787

35.028509

6.747202

30.200182 to 39.889161

5 to 6

0.922652

29.066209

6.651959

24.47156 to 33.805

6 to 7

0.946309

26.817994

6.659494

22.322081 to 31.504059

7 to 8

0.984496

25.378102

6.700832

20.935141 to 30.043836

8 to 9

0.94958

24.984643

6.720449

20.552912 to 29.648834

9 to 10

0.961165

23.724913

6.803396

19.323326 to 28.39237

10 up

*

22.803557

6.886886

18.417247 to 27.483099

 

We conclude with 95% confidence that the true population survival rate 5 years after the surgical operation studied is between 24.5% and 33.8% for people diagnosed as having this cancer.

 

confidence intervals